Health Check: How Prudently Does Yonghui Superstores (SHSE:601933) Use Debt?
Health Check: How Prudently Does Yonghui Superstores (SHSE:601933) Use Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Yonghui Superstores Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601933) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
大卫·伊本说得好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。与许多其他公司一样,永辉超市有限公司(SHSE: 601933)也使用债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时危险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法偿还贷款,那么债务就任其摆布。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常会看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以不良价格筹集资金。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。
How Much Debt Does Yonghui Superstores Carry?
永辉超市背负了多少债务?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Yonghui Superstores had debt of CN¥6.98b at the end of September 2023, a reduction from CN¥10.5b over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥7.53b in cash, so it actually has CN¥543.7m net cash.
您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2023年9月底,永辉超市的债务为69.8亿元人民币,较一年内的105亿元人民币有所减少。但是,其资产负债表显示其持有75.3亿元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有5.437亿元的净现金。
How Strong Is Yonghui Superstores' Balance Sheet?
永辉超市的资产负债表有多强?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Yonghui Superstores had liabilities of CN¥25.3b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥22.0b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥7.53b and CN¥2.35b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥37.4b.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,永辉超市的负债为253亿元人民币,此后到期的负债为220亿元人民币。另一方面,它有75.3亿加元的现金和价值23.5亿加元的应收账款在一年内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额374亿元人民币。
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥20.4b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Yonghui Superstores would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. Yonghui Superstores boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load, even if it does have very significant liabilities, in total. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Yonghui Superstores's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
这里的缺陷严重影响了这家204亿元人民币的公司本身,就好像一个孩子在装满书本、运动装备和喇叭的巨大背包的重压下挣扎一样。因此,毫无疑问,我们将密切关注其资产负债表。归根结底,如果债权人要求还款,永辉超市可能需要进行大规模的资本重组。永辉超市拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,即使确实有非常巨额的负债,它的总债务负担也并不沉重。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,未来的收益将决定永辉超市未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。
Over 12 months, Yonghui Superstores made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥81b, which is a fall of 12%. That's not what we would hope to see.
在过去的12个月中,永辉超市在息税前利润水平上出现亏损,收入降至810亿元人民币,下降了12%。这不是我们希望看到的。
So How Risky Is Yonghui Superstores?
那么永辉超市的风险有多大?
While Yonghui Superstores lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow CN¥4.9b. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. Given the lack of transparency around future revenue (and cashflow), we're nervous about this one, until it makes its first big sales. To us, it is a high risk play. For riskier companies like Yonghui Superstores I always like to keep an eye on the long term profit and revenue trends. Fortunately, you can click to see our interactive graph of its profit, revenue, and operating cashflow.
尽管永辉超市的息税前收益(EBIT)水平出现亏损,但它实际上创造了49亿元人民币的正自由现金流。因此,从面值来看,考虑到净现金状况,我们认为该股在短期内风险不大。鉴于未来收入(和现金流)缺乏透明度,我们对此感到紧张,直到它首次实现大笔销售。对我们来说,这是一场高风险的游戏。对于像永辉超市这样的风险较高的公司,我总是喜欢关注长期的利润和收入趋势。幸运的是,您可以点击查看我们的利润、收入和运营现金流的交互式图表。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。
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