If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Although, when we looked at Zhejiang Truelove Vogue (SZSE:003041), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Zhejiang Truelove Vogue is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.066 = CN¥92m ÷ (CN¥1.6b - CN¥236m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).
So, Zhejiang Truelove Vogue has an ROCE of 6.6%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 5.0% generated by the Luxury industry, it's much better.
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Zhejiang Truelove Vogue compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Zhejiang Truelove Vogue.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
In terms of Zhejiang Truelove Vogue's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 6.6% from 13% five years ago. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
On a related note, Zhejiang Truelove Vogue has decreased its current liabilities to 14% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
The Bottom Line
To conclude, we've found that Zhejiang Truelove Vogue is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 27% in the last year. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
One more thing: We've identified 2 warning signs with Zhejiang Truelove Vogue (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.