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Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on Stepan Company (NYSE:SCL) Current Share Price Momentum?

Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on Stepan Company (NYSE:SCL) Current Share Price Momentum?

混合基本面会对Stepan Company(纽约证券交易所代码:SCL)当前的股价势头产生负面影响吗?
Simply Wall St ·  02/06 07:54

Most readers would already be aware that Stepan's (NYSE:SCL) stock increased significantly by 16% over the past three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. In this article, we decided to focus on Stepan's ROE.

大多数读者已经意识到,Stepan(纽约证券交易所代码:SCL)的股票在过去三个月中大幅上涨了16%。但是,我们想知道该公司财务状况不稳定是否会对当前的股价势头产生任何不利影响。在本文中,我们决定重点关注 Stepan 的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。简而言之,投资回报率显示了每美元从其股东投资中产生的利润。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Stepan is:

因此,根据上述公式,Stepan 的投资回报率为:

4.3% = US$52m ÷ US$1.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

4.3% = 5200万美元 ÷ 12亿美元(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.04 in profit.

“申报表” 是过去十二个月的税后收入金额。另一种思考方式是,每持有价值1美元的股权,该公司就能获得0.04美元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。现在,我们需要评估公司再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润以用于未来的增长,从而使我们对公司的增长潜力有所了解。假设其他一切保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Stepan's Earnings Growth And 4.3% ROE

Stepan 的收益增长和 4.3% 的投资回报率的并排比较

At first glance, Stepan's ROE doesn't look very promising. A quick further study shows that the company's ROE doesn't compare favorably to the industry average of 13% either. Thus, the low net income growth of 2.4% seen by Stepan over the past five years could probably be the result of the low ROE.

乍一看,斯蒂芬的投资回报率看起来并不十分乐观。一项快速的进一步研究表明,该公司的投资回报率与行业平均水平的13%相比也并不理想。因此,Stepan在过去五年中看到的2.4%的低净收入增长可能是投资回报率低的结果。

We then compared Stepan's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 12% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然后,我们将Stepan的净收入增长与该行业进行了比较,发现该公司的增长数字低于同期12%的行业平均增长率,这有点令人担忧。

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:SCL Past Earnings Growth February 6th 2024
纽约证券交易所:SCL过去的收益增长 2024年2月6日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Has the market priced in the future outlook for SCL? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是面向光明还是暗淡的未来。市场对SCL的未来展望进行了定价吗?你可以在我们最新的内在价值信息图研究报告中找到答案。

Is Stepan Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Stepan 是否有效地将利润再投资?

Stepan has a low three-year median payout ratio of 21% (meaning, the company keeps the remaining 79% of profits) which means that the company is retaining more of its earnings. However, the low earnings growth number doesn't reflect this fact. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

Stepan的三年派息率中位数很低,为21%(这意味着该公司保留了剩余的79%的利润),这意味着该公司保留了更多的收益。但是,低收入增长数字并不能反映这一事实。因此,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用,这些因素可能会阻碍增长。例如,该业务面临一些阻力。

In addition, Stepan has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 33% over the next three years.

此外,Stepan至少十年来一直在支付股息,这表明即使以牺牲业务增长为代价,维持股息支付对管理层来说也更为重要。在研究了分析师的最新共识数据后,我们发现该公司的未来派息率预计将在未来三年内升至33%。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Stepan can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总的来说,我们认为斯捷潘的表演可以有多种解释。尽管鉴于投资回报率低,它似乎保留了大部分利润,但投资者毕竟可能无法从所有这些再投资中受益。低收入增长表明我们的理论是正确的。既然如此,分析师的最新预测显示,该公司的收益将继续扩大。要了解有关公司未来收益增长预测的更多信息,请查看这份关于分析师预测的免费报告,以了解更多信息。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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