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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Nanjing LES Information Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688631) Shares After Tumbling 28%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 7 06:02

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Nanjing LES Information Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688631) shares are down a considerable 28% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Nanjing LES Information Technology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 29x might still make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 24x and even P/E's below 15x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Nanjing LES Information Technology has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688631 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 6th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Nanjing LES Information Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For Nanjing LES Information Technology?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Nanjing LES Information Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 26%. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 42% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that Nanjing LES Information Technology is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Nanjing LES Information Technology's P/E

Despite the recent share price weakness, Nanjing LES Information Technology's P/E remains higher than most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Nanjing LES Information Technology revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Nanjing LES Information Technology, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Nanjing LES Information Technology. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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