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Market Cool On Guangzhou Pearl River Development Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600684) Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 6 19:06

Guangzhou Pearl River Development Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600684) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Real Estate industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.4x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600684 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 7th 2024

How Guangzhou Pearl River Development Group Has Been Performing

Guangzhou Pearl River Development Group certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dwindle, which has kept the P/S suppressed. Those who are bullish on Guangzhou Pearl River Development Group will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Guangzhou Pearl River Development Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Guangzhou Pearl River Development Group?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Guangzhou Pearl River Development Group's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 72% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 78% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 9.7%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

In light of this, it's peculiar that Guangzhou Pearl River Development Group's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Guangzhou Pearl River Development Group revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

Having said that, be aware Guangzhou Pearl River Development Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is concerning.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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