The Shenzhen Farben Information Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300925) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 38%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 49% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, Shenzhen Farben Information TechnologyLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 30.3x might still make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 24x and even P/E's below 15x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
For example, consider that Shenzhen Farben Information TechnologyLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Shenzhen Farben Information TechnologyLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 21% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 35% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 42% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Farben Information TechnologyLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Shenzhen Farben Information TechnologyLtd's P/E hasn't come down all the way after its stock plunged. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Shenzhen Farben Information TechnologyLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Shenzhen Farben Information TechnologyLtd that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
