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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Letong Chemical Co.,LTD's (SZSE:002319) Shares After Tumbling 31%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 8 06:08

Letong Chemical Co.,LTD (SZSE:002319) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 31% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 42% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Letong ChemicalLTD is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.9x, considering almost half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have P/S ratios below 1.7x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002319 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 7th 2024

How Has Letong ChemicalLTD Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Letong ChemicalLTD over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Letong ChemicalLTD will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Letong ChemicalLTD?

Letong ChemicalLTD's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 3.2%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 24% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's alarming that Letong ChemicalLTD's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Letong ChemicalLTD's P/S?

Even after such a strong price drop, Letong ChemicalLTD's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Letong ChemicalLTD revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Letong ChemicalLTD that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Letong ChemicalLTD, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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