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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Zhejiang Chenfeng Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603685) Shares After Tumbling 31%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 7 17:14

Zhejiang Chenfeng Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603685) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 31% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 2.1% over that longer period.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Zhejiang Chenfeng Technology's P/S ratio of 1.5x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Electrical industry in China is also close to 1.8x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603685 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 7th 2024

What Does Zhejiang Chenfeng Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, Zhejiang Chenfeng Technology's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zhejiang Chenfeng Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Zhejiang Chenfeng Technology would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 14% decrease to the company's top line. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 8.1% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 27% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it interesting that Zhejiang Chenfeng Technology is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Bottom Line On Zhejiang Chenfeng Technology's P/S

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Zhejiang Chenfeng Technology looks to be in line with the rest of the Electrical industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Zhejiang Chenfeng Technology revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Chenfeng Technology that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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