Optimism Around Dime Community Bancshares (NASDAQ:DCOM) Delivering New Earnings Growth May Be Shrinking as Stock Declines 17% This Past Week
Optimism Around Dime Community Bancshares (NASDAQ:DCOM) Delivering New Earnings Growth May Be Shrinking as Stock Declines 17% This Past Week
The simplest way to benefit from a rising market is to buy an index fund. When you buy individual stocks, you can make higher profits, but you also face the risk of under-performance. That downside risk was realized by Dime Community Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ:DCOM) shareholders over the last year, as the share price declined 40%. That's well below the market return of 20%. Longer term shareholders haven't suffered as badly, since the stock is down a comparatively less painful 29% in three years. Unfortunately the share price momentum is still quite negative, with prices down 28% in thirty days. Importantly, this could be a market reaction to the recently released financial results. You can check out the latest numbers in our company report.
從市場上漲中獲益的最簡單方法是購買指數基金。當你買入個股時,你可以獲得更高的利潤,但你也面臨表現不佳的風險。去年,由於股價下跌了40%,Dime Community Bancshares, Inc.(納斯達克股票代碼:DCOM)的股東意識到了這種下行風險。這遠低於20%的市場回報率。長期股東的損失沒有那麼嚴重,因爲該股在三年內下跌了29%的痛苦。不幸的是,股價勢頭仍然相當不利,股價在三十天內下跌了28%。重要的是,這可能是市場對最近公佈的財務業績的反應。你可以在我們的公司報告中查看最新的數字。
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
鑑於過去一週對股東來說很艱難,讓我們調查一下基本面,看看我們能學到什麼。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。
Unhappily, Dime Community Bancshares had to report a 39% decline in EPS over the last year. This change in EPS is remarkably close to the 40% decrease in the share price. Therefore one could posit that the market has not become more concerned about the company, despite the lower EPS. Instead, the change in the share price seems to reduction in earnings per share, alone.
不幸的是,Dime社區銀行不得不報告去年每股收益下降了39%。每股收益的變化非常接近股價下跌的40%。因此,人們可以假設,儘管每股收益較低,但市場對該公司的擔憂並沒有增加。相反,僅股價的變化似乎就減少了每股收益。
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下圖中看到 EPS 隨時間推移的變化(點擊圖表查看確切值)。
We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
我們喜歡內部人士在過去十二個月中一直在購買股票。即便如此,未來的收益對於當前股東能否賺錢要重要得多。在買入或賣出股票之前,我們始終建議仔細研究歷史增長趨勢,可在此處查閱。
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Dime Community Bancshares the TSR over the last 1 year was -37%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。我們注意到,Dime Community Bancshares在過去一年的股東總回報率爲-37%,好於上述股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
While the broader market gained around 20% in the last year, Dime Community Bancshares shareholders lost 37% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 5% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Dime Community Bancshares .
儘管去年整體市場上漲了約20%,但Dime Community Bancshares的股東損失了37%(甚至包括股息)。即使是優質股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在過於感興趣之前看到企業基本指標的改善。遺憾的是,去年的業績結束了糟糕的表現,股東在五年內每年面臨5%的總虧損。我們意識到羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該 “在街頭流血時買入”,但我們警告說,投資者應首先確保他們購買的是高質量的企業。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。爲此,你應該注意我們在Dime Community Bancshares中發現的1個警告信號。
Dime Community Bancshares is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Dime Community Bancshares並不是內部人士唯一買入的股票。對於那些喜歡尋找獲利投資的人來說,這份最近有內幕收購的成長型公司的免費清單可能就是入場券。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。