Jintuo Technology (SHSE:603211) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Jintuo Technology (SHSE:603211) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Jintuo Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603211) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
大卫·伊本说得好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们注意到,金拓科技股份有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:603211)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时危险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
当企业无法轻易履行这些义务时,无论是通过自由现金流还是以诱人的价格筹集资金,债务和其他负债就会面临风险。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能一无所有地离开。尽管这种情况不太常见,但我们经常看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以低价筹集资金。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面后果。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。
What Is Jintuo Technology's Debt?
金拓科技的债务是什么?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Jintuo Technology had CN¥405.0m of debt, an increase on CN¥340.9m, over one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥94.6m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥310.4m.
你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年9月,金拓科技在一年内有4.05亿元人民币的债务,比3.409亿元人民币的债务有所增加。另一方面,它拥有9,460万元的现金,净负债约为3.104亿元人民币。
A Look At Jintuo Technology's Liabilities
看看金拓科技的负债
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jintuo Technology had liabilities of CN¥450.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥133.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥94.6m in cash and CN¥368.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥120.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看出,金拓科技在12个月内到期的负债为4.501亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为1.333亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有9,460万元人民币的现金和3.686亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总额高出1.20亿元人民币。
Given Jintuo Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥3.57b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
鉴于金拓科技的市值为357亿元人民币,很难相信这些负债会构成很大的威胁。但是,我们确实认为值得关注其资产负债表的实力,因为它可能会随着时间的推移而发生变化。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
为了扩大公司相对于收益的负债规模,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),将其利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。这种方法的优势在于,我们既考虑了债务的绝对数量(包括净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润),也考虑了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(及其利息覆盖率)。
Jintuo Technology has net debt to EBITDA of 3.1 suggesting it uses a fair bit of leverage to boost returns. On the plus side, its EBIT was 7.3 times its interest expense, and its net debt to EBITDA, was quite high, at 3.1. Shareholders should be aware that Jintuo Technology's EBIT was down 50% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Jintuo Technology's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
金拓科技的净负债占息税折旧摊销前利润为3.1,这表明它使用了相当多的杠杆率来提高回报。从好的方面来看,其息税前利润是利息支出的7.3倍,其净负债占息税折旧摊销前利润的比例相当高,为3.1。股东们应该意识到,金拓科技去年的息税前利润下降了50%。如果这种下降持续下去,那么偿还债务将比在素食大会上出售鹅肝更难。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是金拓科技的收益。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Jintuo Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。因此,我们总是检查息税前利润中有多少转化为自由现金流。在过去的三年中,金拓科技总共出现了可观的负自由现金流。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况将在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。
Our View
我们的观点
To be frank both Jintuo Technology's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Jintuo Technology's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Jintuo Technology (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
坦率地说,金拓科技将息税前利润转换为自由现金流,以及其(不)增长息税前利润的往绩都使我们对其债务水平感到相当不舒服。但至少它在用息税前利润支付利息支出方面相当不错;这令人鼓舞。一旦我们综合考虑了上述所有因素,在我们看来,金拓科技的债务使其有点风险。有些人喜欢这种风险,但我们注意到了潜在的陷阱,因此我们可能更希望它承担较少的债务。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。我们已经确定了金拓科技的两个警告信号(至少一个是重要的),了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。