Despite an already strong run, Mongolian Mining Corporation (HKG:975) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. The annual gain comes to 215% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Metals and Mining industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.4x, you may consider Mongolian Mining as a stock probably not worth researching with its 1.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
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What Does Mongolian Mining's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Mongolian Mining as its revenue has been rising very briskly. The P/S ratio is probably high because investors think this strong revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Mongolian Mining will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Mongolian Mining's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Mongolian Mining's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, we see the company's revenues grew exponentially. The amazing performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 109% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 9.4%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring
With this in consideration, it's not hard to understand why Mongolian Mining's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.
The Key Takeaway
Mongolian Mining shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Mongolian Mining revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its high P/S, given they look better than current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident revenue aren't under threat. Barring any significant changes to the company's ability to make money, the share price should continue to be propped up.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Mongolian Mining you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Mongolian Mining, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.