The Winner Technology Co., Inc. (SZSE:300609) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 43%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 29% share price drop.
Even after such a large drop in price, when almost half of the companies in China's IT industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.1x, you may still consider Winner Technology as a stock not worth researching with its 5.6x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How Has Winner Technology Performed Recently?
Winner Technology hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Winner Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Winner Technology's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 32% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 9.3% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 182% as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 41%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Winner Technology's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Winner Technology's P/S?
Winner Technology's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Winner Technology maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the IT industry, as expected. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Winner Technology that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Winner Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.