The Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300468) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 34% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 5.8x, considering almost half the companies in China's IT industry have P/S ratios below 3.1x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How Has Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information Performed Recently?
Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information, which is generally not a bad outcome. It might be that many expect the reasonable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 3.2% gain to the company's revenues. Revenue has also lifted 17% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 41% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information's P/S
Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information (1 is significant!) that we have uncovered.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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