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What You Can Learn From Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300604) P/SAfter Its 26% Share Price Crash

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 10 16:07

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300604) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 43% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 7.9x, considering almost half the companies in China's Semiconductor industry have P/S ratios below 5.9x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300604 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 11th 2024

How Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd Has Been Performing

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd?

Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 7.5%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 192% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 61% over the next year. With the industry only predicted to deliver 35%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What Does Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?

Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd's P/S remain high even after its stock plunged. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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