Verra Mobility Corporation (NASDAQ:VRRM), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a decent share price growth of 17% on the NASDAQCM over the last few months. The company is inching closer to its yearly highs following the recent share price climb. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock's share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Verra Mobility's outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.
What Is Verra Mobility Worth?
According to our valuation model, Verra Mobility seems to be fairly priced at around 19% below our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Verra Mobility today, you'd be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe the company's true value is $28.20, then there's not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Verra Mobility's share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
What does the future of Verra Mobility look like?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you're looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Verra Mobility. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in VRRM's positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven't considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on VRRM, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it's worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
If you'd like to know more about Verra Mobility as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. When we did our research, we found 2 warning signs for Verra Mobility (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that we believe deserve your full attention.
If you are no longer interested in Verra Mobility, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.