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Even After Rising 7.2% This Past Week, Melco International Development (HKG:200) Shareholders Are Still Down 68% Over the Past Five Years

Even After Rising 7.2% This Past Week, Melco International Development (HKG:200) Shareholders Are Still Down 68% Over the Past Five Years

即使在過去一週上漲了7.2%之後,新濠國際發展(HKG: 200)的股東在過去五年中仍下跌了68%
Simply Wall St ·  02/12 23:56

Generally speaking long term investing is the way to go. But unfortunately, some companies simply don't succeed. For example the Melco International Development Limited (HKG:200) share price dropped 68% over five years. That's not a lot of fun for true believers. And we doubt long term believers are the only worried holders, since the stock price has declined 45% over the last twelve months.

一般而言,長期投資是必經之路。但不幸的是,有些公司根本沒有成功。例如,新濠國際發展有限公司(HKG: 200)的股價在五年內下跌了68%。對於真正的信徒來說,這並不是什麼好玩的。而且我們懷疑長期信徒是唯一擔心的持有者,因爲股價在過去十二個月中下跌了45%。

The recent uptick of 7.2% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

最近的上漲7.2%可能是即將發生的事情的積極信號,所以讓我們來看看歷史基本面。

Because Melco International Development made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

由於新濠國際發展在過去十二個月中出現虧損,我們認爲市場可能更注重收入和收入增長,至少目前是如此。一般而言,沒有利潤的公司預計每年收入將增長,而且速度很快。這是因爲快速的收入增長可以很容易地推斷出來預測利潤,通常規模相當大。

In the last five years Melco International Development saw its revenue shrink by 30% per year. That puts it in an unattractive cohort, to put it mildly. Arguably, the market has responded appropriately to this business performance by sending the share price down 11% (annualized) in the same time period. We don't generally like to own companies that lose money and don't grow revenues. You might be better off spending your money on a leisure activity. You'd want to research this company pretty thoroughly before buying, it looks a bit too risky for us.

在過去的五年中,新濠國際發展的收入每年減少30%。客氣地說,這使它成爲一個沒有吸引力的群體。可以說,市場對這一業務表現做出了適當的反應,使股價在同一時期下跌了11%(按年計算)。我們通常不喜歡擁有虧損且收入不增長的公司。你最好把錢花在休閒活動上。在收購之前,你需要對這家公司進行徹底的研究,這對我們來說看起來有點太冒險了。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收入和收入隨時間推移的跟蹤情況(如果您點擊圖片,可以看到更多細節)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:200 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 13th 2024
SEHK: 200 2024 年 2 月 13 日的收益和收入增長

If you are thinking of buying or selling Melco International Development stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您正在考慮買入或賣出新濠國際開發公司的股票,則應查看這份有關其資產負債表的免費詳細報告。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We regret to report that Melco International Development shareholders are down 45% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 17%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 11% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Melco International Development .

我們遺憾地報告,新濠國際發展股東今年下跌了45%。不幸的是,這比整個市場17%的跌幅還要嚴重。話雖如此,在下跌的市場中,一些股票不可避免地會被超賣。關鍵是要密切關注基本發展。遺憾的是,去年的業績結束了糟糕的表現,股東在五年內每年面臨11%的總虧損。總的來說,長期股價疲軟可能是一個壞兆頭,儘管逆勢投資者可能希望研究該股以期出現轉機。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。爲此,你應該注意我們在新濠國際開發公司發現的1個警告信號。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一樣,那麼你不會想錯過這份業內人士正在收購的成長型公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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