The COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. (HKG:1138) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 22% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Oil and Gas industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
How COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation Has Been Performing
With its revenue growth in positive territory compared to the declining revenue of most other companies, COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation has been doing quite well of late. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 44% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 37% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 14% during the coming year according to the seven analysts following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 0.5%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
In light of this, it's curious that COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation's P/S
COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.