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Zhejiang Hisoar Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002099) Shares May Have Slumped 32% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 15 01:28

The Zhejiang Hisoar Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002099) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 32%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 35% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Zhejiang Hisoar Pharmaceutical's P/S ratio of 3.3x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Pharmaceuticals industry in China is also close to 3.2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002099 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 15th 2024

How Has Zhejiang Hisoar Pharmaceutical Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Zhejiang Hisoar Pharmaceutical's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zhejiang Hisoar Pharmaceutical will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Zhejiang Hisoar Pharmaceutical?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Zhejiang Hisoar Pharmaceutical's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 16% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 8.3% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 32% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Zhejiang Hisoar Pharmaceutical is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Zhejiang Hisoar Pharmaceutical's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We find it unexpected that Zhejiang Hisoar Pharmaceutical trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Having said that, be aware Zhejiang Hisoar Pharmaceutical is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is significant.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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