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Karin Technology Holdings (SGX:K29) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

Karin Technology Holdings (SGX:K29) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

凱倫科技控股(新加坡證券交易所股票代碼:K29)的強勁利潤可能掩蓋了一些潛在問題
Simply Wall St ·  02/16 06:17

The market shrugged off Karin Technology Holdings Limited's (SGX:K29) solid earnings report. Our analysis showed that there are some concerning factors in the earnings that investors may be cautious of.

市場對凱倫科技控股有限公司(新加坡證券交易所股票代碼:K29)穩健的收益報告不屑一顧。我們的分析表明,收益中存在一些令人擔憂的因素,投資者可能會謹慎行事。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SGX:K29 Earnings and Revenue History February 15th 2024
新加坡證券交易所:K29 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 2 月 15 日

Zooming In On Karin Technology Holdings' Earnings

放大Karin Technology Holdings的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的情況的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該時期公司的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,正應計比率是負數。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司未來的利潤往往較低”。

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Karin Technology Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of -0.10. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of HK$101m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of HK$46.4m. Notably, Karin Technology Holdings had negative free cash flow last year, so the HK$101m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2023年12月的十二個月中,凱倫科技控股的應計比率爲-0.10。這表明其自由現金流遠超過其法定利潤。換句話說,它在此期間產生了1.01億港元的自由現金流,使其報告的4,640萬港元利潤相形見絀。值得注意的是,凱倫科技控股去年的自由現金流爲負,因此其今年的1.01億港元是一個可喜的改善。話雖如此,故事還有更多。應計比率至少部分反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Karin Technology Holdings.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對凱倫科技控股的資產負債表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不尋常物品對利潤的影響

Surprisingly, given Karin Technology Holdings' accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by HK$33m in unusual items. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Karin Technology Holdings' positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to December 2023. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

令人驚訝的是,鑑於Karin Technology Holdings的應計比率意味着強勁的現金轉換,其票面利潤實際上是由3300萬港元的不尋常項目提振的。雖然獲得更高的利潤總是件好事,但來自不尋常物品的巨額捐款有時會抑制我們的熱情。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大不尋常的事項往往不會重演。這正如你所預料的那樣,因爲這些增強被描述爲 “不尋常”。我們可以看到,相對於截至2023年12月的一年中,凱倫科技控股的正面不尋常項目與其利潤相比相當可觀。因此,我們可以推測,這些不尋常的物品使其法定利潤明顯高於原來的水平。

Our Take On Karin Technology Holdings' Profit Performance

我們對凱琳科技控股盈利表現的看法

Karin Technology Holdings' profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Based on these factors, we think it's very unlikely that Karin Technology Holdings' statutory profits make it seem much weaker than it is. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Karin Technology Holdings.

Karin Technology Holdings的利潤因不尋常的項目而得到提振,這表明利潤可能無法持續下去,但其應計比率仍然顯示出穩健的現金轉換,這令人鼓舞。基於這些因素,我們認爲Karin Technology Holdings的法定利潤使其看起來比現在疲軟得多的可能性很小。考慮到這一點,除非我們對風險有透徹的了解,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。例如,我們發現了3個警告信號,爲了更好地了解凱倫科技控股的情況,你應該仔細檢查一下。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在本文中,我們研究了許多可能削弱利潤數字效用的因素,以此作爲業務指南。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多值得發現的地方。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率表明商業經濟狀況良好,而另一些人則喜歡 “追隨資金”,尋找內部人士正在購買的股票。儘管可能需要代表你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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