The Cimpress plc (NASDAQ:CMPR) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28%. The last month tops off a massive increase of 152% in the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Cimpress' P/S ratio of 0.8x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Commercial Services industry in the United States is also close to 1.2x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
How Cimpress Has Been Performing
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Cimpress has been relatively sluggish. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Cimpress will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Cimpress?
Cimpress' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 9.6% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 34% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 6.1% per annum during the coming three years according to the two analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 20% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that Cimpress' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What Does Cimpress' P/S Mean For Investors?
Cimpress appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
When you consider that Cimpress' revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Cimpress (including 1 which is a bit concerning).
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.