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Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (NYSE:FIX) Stocks Shoot Up 25% But Its P/E Still Looks Reasonable

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 16 18:31

Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (NYSE:FIX) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 25% share price jump in the last month. The last month tops off a massive increase of 101% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, Comfort Systems USA's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 31.3x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 16x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Comfort Systems USA certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:FIX Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 16th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Comfort Systems USA.

How Is Comfort Systems USA's Growth Trending?

Comfort Systems USA's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 27%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 109% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 17% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 13% growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Comfort Systems USA's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Comfort Systems USA's P/E?

Shares in Comfort Systems USA have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Comfort Systems USA's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Comfort Systems USA with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

You might be able to find a better investment than Comfort Systems USA. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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