Things Look Grim For Nu Skin Enterprises, Inc. (NYSE:NUS) After Today's Downgrade
Things Look Grim For Nu Skin Enterprises, Inc. (NYSE:NUS) After Today's Downgrade
The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Nu Skin Enterprises, Inc. (NYSE:NUS), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting analysts have soured majorly on the business.
分析師的最新報道可能預示着Nu Skin Enterprises, Inc.(紐約證券交易所代碼:NUS)將迎來糟糕的一天,分析師全面下調了法定估計,這可能會讓股東感到震驚。收入和每股收益(EPS)的預測都出現了偏差,這表明分析師對該業務的看法主要惡化。
Following the latest downgrade, the three analysts covering Nu Skin Enterprises provided consensus estimates of US$1.8b revenue in 2024, which would reflect a measurable 7.9% decline on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to bounce 473% to US$0.99. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$2.0b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$2.15 in 2024. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Nu Skin Enterprises' prospects, administering a measurable cut to revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.
在最近的降級之後,涵蓋Nu Skin Enterprises的三位分析師提供了共識估計,2024年收入爲18億美元,這將反映出其在過去12個月中銷售額明顯下降了7.9%。據推測,每股法定收益將反彈473%,至0.99美元。在本次更新之前,分析師一直預測2024年的收入爲20億美元,每股收益(EPS)爲2.15美元。事實上,我們可以看到,分析師對Nu Skin Enterprises的前景更加悲觀,他們大幅削減了收入預期,並下調了每股收益預期。
The consensus price target fell 26% to US$15.50, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates.
共識目標股價下跌26%,至15.50美元,盈利前景疲軟顯然領先於分析師的估值預期。
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. Over the past five years, revenues have declined around 4.2% annually. Worse, forecasts are essentially predicting the decline to accelerate, with the estimate for an annualised 7.9% decline in revenue until the end of 2024. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 7.1% per year. So while a broad number of companies are forecast to grow, unfortunately Nu Skin Enterprises is expected to see its sales affected worse than other companies in the industry.
當然,看待這些預測的另一種方法是將它們與行業本身聯繫起來。在過去五年中,收入每年下降約4.2%。更糟糕的是,預測本質上是預測下降將加速,預計到2024年底,收入年化下降7.9%。相比之下,我們的數據表明,預計類似行業的其他公司(有分析師報道)的收入每年將增長7.1%。因此,儘管預計將有許多公司增長,但不幸的是,預計Nu Skin Enterprises的銷售受到的影響將比業內其他公司更嚴重。
The Bottom Line
底線
The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Nu Skin Enterprises. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Nu Skin Enterprises' revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. After such a stark change in sentiment from analysts, we'd understand if readers now felt a bit wary of Nu Skin Enterprises.
新估計中最大的問題是,分析師下調了每股收益預期,這表明Nu Skin Enterprises面臨業務不利因素。不幸的是,分析師也下調了收入預期,行業數據表明,預計Nu Skin Enterprises的收入增長將低於整個市場。在分析師的觀點發生了如此明顯的變化之後,我們可以理解讀者現在是否對Nu Skin Enterprises感到有些警惕。
Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Nu Skin Enterprises going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.
即便如此,業務的長期發展軌跡對於股東的價值創造更爲重要。在Simply Wall St,我們有分析師對Nu Skin Enterprises到2025年的全方位估計,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
當然,看到公司管理層將大量資金投資於股票與了解分析師是否在下調預期一樣有用。因此,您可能還希望搜索這份內部人士正在購買的免費股票清單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。