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Strong Week for Angang Steel (HKG:347) Shareholders Doesn't Alleviate Pain of Five-year Loss

Strong Week for Angang Steel (HKG:347) Shareholders Doesn't Alleviate Pain of Five-year Loss

鞍鋼(HKG: 347)股東表現強勁的一週並不能緩解五年虧損的痛苦
Simply Wall St ·  02/19 18:30

Statistically speaking, long term investing is a profitable endeavour. But that doesn't mean long term investors can avoid big losses. For example, after five long years the Angang Steel Company Limited (HKG:347) share price is a whole 71% lower. That is extremely sub-optimal, to say the least. And it's not just long term holders hurting, because the stock is down 49% in the last year. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 22% in the last 90 days.

從統計學上講,長期投資是一項有利可圖的舉措。但這並不意味着長期投資者可以避免巨額損失。例如,在漫長的五年之後,鞍鋼股份有限公司(HKG: 347)的股價下跌了整整71%。至少可以說,這非常不理想。而且,受傷害的不僅僅是長揸者,因爲該股去年下跌了49%。股東們最近的表現更加艱難,股價在過去90天中下跌了22%。

While the last five years has been tough for Angang Steel shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

儘管過去五年對鞍鋼股東來說是艱難的,但過去一週顯示出希望的跡象。因此,讓我們來看看長期基本面,看看它們是否是負回報的驅動力。

Angang Steel isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.

鞍鋼目前沒有盈利,因此大多數分析師會着眼於收入的增長,以了解基礎業務的增長速度。一般而言,沒有利潤的公司預計每年收入將增長,而且速度很快。一些公司願意推遲盈利以更快地增加收入,但在這種情況下,人們確實預計收入會有良好的增長。

In the last half decade, Angang Steel saw its revenue increase by 5.5% per year. That's not a very high growth rate considering it doesn't make profits. It's not so sure that share price crash of 11% per year is completely deserved, but the market is doubtless disappointed. We'd be pretty cautious about this one, although the sell-off may be too severe. A company like this generally needs to produce profits before it can find favour with new investors.

在過去的五年中,鞍鋼的收入每年增長5.5%。考慮到它沒有盈利,這不是一個很高的增長率。目前尚不確定每年11%的股價暴跌是完全當之無愧的,但毫無疑問,市場感到失望。儘管拋售可能過於嚴重,但我們對這個問題會非常謹慎。像這樣的公司通常需要先創造利潤,然後才能獲得新投資者的青睞。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:347 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 19th 2024
SEHK: 347 2024年2月19日收益和收入增長

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪水低於類似規模公司的中位數。始終值得關注首席執行官的薪酬,但更重要的問題是公司多年來是否會增加收益。因此,我們建議您查看這份顯示共識預測的免費報告

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Angang Steel the TSR over the last 5 years was -66%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。我們注意到,鞍鋼在過去5年的股東總回報率爲-66%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We regret to report that Angang Steel shareholders are down 49% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 13%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 11% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. You might want to assess this data-rich visualization of its earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我們遺憾地報告,鞍鋼股東今年下跌了49%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,這比整個市場13%的跌幅還要嚴重。但是,可能只是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。遺憾的是,去年的業績結束了糟糕的表現,股東在五年內每年面臨11%的總虧損。我們意識到羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該 “在街頭流血時買入”,但我們警告說,投資者應首先確保他們購買的是高質量的企業。您可能需要評估其收益、收入和現金流的這種數據豐富的可視化效果。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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