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The Three-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group (SZSE:000987) Stock Falls a Further 3.1% in Past Week

The Three-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group (SZSE:000987) Stock Falls a Further 3.1% in Past Week

由於廣州越秀資本控股集團(SZSE: 000987)股價在過去一週進一步下跌3.1%,三年期股東回報率和公司收益持續走低
Simply Wall St ·  02/19 19:33

It can certainly be frustrating when a stock does not perform as hoped. But no-one can make money on every call, especially in a declining market. While the Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000987) share price is down 27% in the last three years, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was -21%. That's better than the market which declined 28% over the last three years. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 12% in the last three months. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 14% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

當股票表現不如預期時,肯定會令人沮喪。但是,沒有人能在每次通話中賺錢,尤其是在下跌的市場中。儘管廣州越秀資本控股集團有限公司(SZSE: 000987)的股價在過去三年中下跌了27%,但股東總回報率(包括股息)爲-21%。這比過去三年下跌28%的市場要好。最近跌勢加速,股價在過去三個月中下跌了12%。當然,這種股價走勢很可能受到了整個時期大盤下跌14%的影響。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

鑑於過去一週對股東來說很艱難,讓我們調查一下基本面,看看我們能學到什麼。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

During the three years that the share price fell, Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 16% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 10% compound annual share price fall. So the market may not be too worried about the EPS figure, at the moment -- or it may have previously priced some of the drop in.

在股價下跌的三年中,廣州越秀資本控股集團的每股收益(EPS)每年下降16%。每股收益的下降比10%的複合年股價下跌還要嚴重。因此,目前市場可能不太擔心每股收益的數字,或者此前可能已經將部分下跌定價了。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了 EPS 隨着時間的推移是如何變化的(點擊圖片可以看到確切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SZSE:000987 Earnings Per Share Growth February 20th 2024
SZSE: 000987 每股收益增長 2024 年 2 月 20 日

Dive deeper into Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

查看這張廣州越秀資本控股集團收益、收入和現金流的互動圖表,深入了解廣州越秀資本控股集團的關鍵指標。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group's TSR for the last 3 years was -21%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。碰巧的是,廣州越秀資本控股集團過去三年的股東總回報率爲-21%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While it's certainly disappointing to see that Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group shares lost 9.4% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 20%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 1.7% for each year. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.

儘管廣州越秀資本控股集團股價全年下跌9.4%確實令人失望,但這還不如20%的市場跌幅那麼糟糕。當然,長期回報要重要得多,好消息是,在過去的五年中,該股每年的回報率爲1.7%。可能是該企業正面臨一些短期問題,但股東應密切關注基本面。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。一個很好的例子:我們已經發現了你應該注意的廣州越秀資本控股集團的兩個警告信號,其中一個讓我們有點不舒服。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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