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Are Strong Financial Prospects The Force That Is Driving The Momentum In Devon Energy Corporation's NYSE:DVN) Stock?

Are Strong Financial Prospects The Force That Is Driving The Momentum In Devon Energy Corporation's NYSE:DVN) Stock?

强劲的财务前景是推动德文能源公司(纽约证券交易所代码:DVN)股票走势的力量吗?
Simply Wall St ·  02/20 05:53

Devon Energy (NYSE:DVN) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 6.1% over the last month. Given the company's impressive performance, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely as a company's financial health over the long-term usually dictates market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Devon Energy's ROE today.

德文能源(纽约证券交易所代码:DVN)在股市上表现良好,其股票上个月大幅上涨了6.1%。鉴于该公司的出色表现,我们决定更仔细地研究其财务指标,因为公司的长期财务状况通常决定市场业绩。特别是,我们今天将关注德文能源的投资回报率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

投资回报率或股本回报率是评估公司如何有效地从股东那里获得投资回报的有用工具。简而言之,它衡量公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Devon Energy is:

因此,根据上述公式,德文能源的投资回报率为:

32% = US$3.8b ÷ US$12b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

32% = 38亿美元 ¥120亿美元(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.32.

“回报” 是企业在过去一年中获得的收入。因此,这意味着其股东每投资1美元,公司就会产生0.32美元的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长之间有什么关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

Devon Energy's Earnings Growth And 32% ROE

德文能源的收益增长和32%的投资回报率

First thing first, we like that Devon Energy has an impressive ROE. Second, a comparison with the average ROE reported by the industry of 22% also doesn't go unnoticed by us. So, the substantial 54% net income growth seen by Devon Energy over the past five years isn't overly surprising.

首先,我们喜欢德文能源的投资回报率令人印象深刻。其次,与该行业报告的平均投资回报率为22%的比较也不会被我们忽视。因此,德文能源在过去五年中实现了54%的净收入大幅增长并不令人惊讶。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Devon Energy's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 35% in the same period, which is great to see.

接下来,与行业净收入增长相比,我们发现,与同期35%的行业平均增长率相比,德文能源的增长相当高,这真是太好了。

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:DVN Past Earnings Growth February 20th 2024
纽约证券交易所:DVN过去的收益增长 2024年2月20日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Has the market priced in the future outlook for DVN? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。这样做将帮助他们确定股票的未来是乐观还是不祥的。市场对DVN的未来展望进行了定价吗?你可以在我们最新的内在价值信息图研究报告中找到答案。

Is Devon Energy Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

德文能源是否有效地将其利润再投资?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 50% (implying that it keeps only 50% of profits) for Devon Energy suggests that the company's growth wasn't really hampered despite it returning most of the earnings to its shareholders.

德文能源公司三年来最高的派息率中位数为50%(这意味着它仅保留了50%的利润),这表明尽管该公司将大部分收益返还给了股东,但其增长并没有真正受到阻碍。

Moreover, Devon Energy is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 35% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Devon Energy is predicted to decline to 24% despite the anticipated decrease in the payout ratio. We reckon that there could probably be other factors that could be driving the forseen decline in the company's ROE.

此外,德文能源公司决心继续与股东分享利润,这是我们从其支付股息至少十年的悠久历史中推断出来的。在研究了分析师的最新共识数据后,我们发现该公司的未来派息率预计将在未来三年降至35%。无论如何,尽管预计派息率会下降,但德文能源的未来投资回报率预计将降至24%。我们认为,可能还有其他因素可能推动公司投资回报率预期的下降。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we feel that Devon Energy's performance has been quite good. We are particularly impressed by the considerable earnings growth posted by the company, which was likely backed by its high ROE. While the company is paying out most of its earnings as dividends, it has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's probably a good sign. Having said that, on studying current analyst estimates, we were concerned to see that while the company has grown its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to shrink in the future. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总的来说,我们认为德文能源的表现相当不错。该公司公布的可观收益增长给我们留下了特别深刻的印象,这可能得到了其高投资回报率的支持。尽管该公司将大部分收益作为股息支付,但尽管如此,它还是得以增加收益,因此这可能是一个好兆头。话虽如此,在研究分析师目前的估计时,我们担心地看到,尽管该公司过去的收益有所增长,但分析师预计其未来收益将萎缩。要了解有关公司未来收益增长预测的更多信息,请查看这份关于分析师预测的免费报告,以了解更多信息。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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