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What DoubleDown Interactive Co., Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:DDI) 46% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 21 06:24

DoubleDown Interactive Co., Ltd. (NASDAQ:DDI) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 46% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 40% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking DoubleDown Interactive is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2.1x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Entertainment industry have P/S ratios below 1.1x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

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NasdaqGS:DDI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 21st 2024

What Does DoubleDown Interactive's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

DoubleDown Interactive hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think DoubleDown Interactive's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For DoubleDown Interactive?

DoubleDown Interactive's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 6.2%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 21% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 2.6% each year as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 9.9% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that DoubleDown Interactive's P/S is outpacing its industry peers. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

DoubleDown Interactive shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

It comes as a surprise to see DoubleDown Interactive trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for DoubleDown Interactive with six simple checks.

If you're unsure about the strength of DoubleDown Interactive's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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