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CSP's (NASDAQ:CSPI) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

CSP's (NASDAQ:CSPI) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

CSP(納斯達克股票代碼:CSPI)的收益可能只是起點
Simply Wall St ·  02/21 07:19

CSP Inc. (NASDAQ:CSPI) just reported some strong earnings, and the market reacted accordingly with a healthy uplift in the share price. However, our analysis suggests that shareholders may be missing some factors that indicate the earnings result was not as good as it looked.

CSP Inc.(納斯達克股票代碼:CSPI)剛剛公佈了一些強勁的收益,市場做出了相應的反應,股價出現了健康的上漲。但是,我們的分析表明,股東可能遺漏了一些表明盈利業績不如預期的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqGM:CSPI Earnings and Revenue History February 21st 2024
NasdaqGM: CSPI 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 2 月 21 日

Zooming In On CSP's Earnings

放大CSP的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的情況的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該時期公司的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,負的應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正的應計比率是負數。儘管應計比率爲正(表明非現金利潤達到一定水平)不是問題,但高應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙質利潤與現金流不匹配。那是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長放緩。

CSP has an accrual ratio of -0.24 for the year to December 2023. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of US$9.5m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of US$3.91m. Notably, CSP had negative free cash flow last year, so the US$9.5m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. However, as we will discuss below, we can see that the company's accrual ratio has been impacted by its tax situation.

截至2023年12月的一年中,CSP的應計比率爲-0.24。這意味着它的現金轉化率非常好,而且其去年的收益實際上大大低估了其自由現金流。換句話說,它在此期間產生了950萬美元的自由現金流,使其報告的391萬美元利潤相形見絀。值得注意的是,CSP去年的自由現金流爲負,因此其今年產生的950萬美元是一個可喜的改善。但是,正如我們將在下面討論的那樣,我們可以看到該公司的應計比率受其稅收狀況的影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of CSP.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對CSP的資產負債表分析。

An Unusual Tax Situation

不尋常的稅收狀況

Moving on from the accrual ratio, we note that CSP profited from a tax benefit which contributed US$589k to profit. This is meaningful because companies usually pay tax rather than receive tax benefits. Of course, prima facie it's great to receive a tax benefit. However, our data indicates that tax benefits can temporarily boost statutory profit in the year it is booked, but subsequently profit may fall back. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth.

從應計比率來看,我們注意到CSP從一項稅收優惠中獲利,該優惠爲利潤貢獻了58.9萬美元。這是有意義的,因爲公司通常納稅而不是獲得稅收優惠。當然, 初步證實 能獲得稅收優惠真是太好了。但是,我們的數據表明,稅收優惠可以暫時增加賬面當年的法定利潤,但隨後利潤可能會回落。如果稅收優惠可能不重演,我們預計其法定利潤水平將下降,至少在沒有強勁增長的情況下是如此。

Our Take On CSP's Profit Performance

我們對CSP利潤表現的看法

In conclusion, CSP has strong cashflow relative to earnings, which indicates good quality earnings, but the tax benefit means its profit wasn't as sustainable as we'd like to see. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if CSP's profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. If you'd like to know more about CSP as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for CSP you should be aware of.

總之,相對於收益而言,CSP的現金流強勁,這表明收益質量良好,但稅收優惠意味着其利潤沒有我們希望的那麼可持續。基於這些因素,很難判斷CSP的利潤是否合理地反映了其潛在的盈利能力。如果您想進一步了解CSP作爲一家企業,了解其面臨的任何風險非常重要。一個很好的例子:我們發現了兩個你應該注意的 CSP 警告信號。

Our examination of CSP has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我們對CSP的審查側重於某些可能使其收益看起來好於實際的因素。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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