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Earnings Tell The Story For NagaCorp Ltd. (HKG:3918) As Its Stock Soars 35%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 21 16:22

NagaCorp Ltd. (HKG:3918) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 35% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 45% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, NagaCorp's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 8x and even P/E's below 4x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

NagaCorp certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:3918 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 21st 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think NagaCorp's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Growth For NagaCorp?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like NagaCorp's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 66%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 74% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 20% per year during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 16% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that NagaCorp's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

The large bounce in NagaCorp's shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that NagaCorp maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for NagaCorp with six simple checks.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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