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When Should You Buy Poly Property Group Co., Limited (HKG:119)?

When Should You Buy Poly Property Group Co., Limited (HKG:119)?

你應該在什麼時候購買保利置業集團有限公司(HKG: 119)?
Simply Wall St ·  02/21 18:38

Poly Property Group Co., Limited (HKG:119), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a decent share price growth of 14% on the SEHK over the last few months. While good news for shareholders, the company has traded much higher in the past year. Less-covered, small caps sees more of an opportunity for mispricing due to the lack of information available to the public, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Poly Property Group's outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

保利地產集團有限公司(HKG: 119)並不是目前最大的公司,但在過去的幾個月中,它在香港交易所的股價上漲了14%。儘管對股東來說是個好消息,但該公司的交易量在過去一年中大幅上漲。由於缺乏向公衆提供的信息,受保範圍較少的小盤股認爲錯誤定價的機會更多,這可能是一件好事。那麼,相對於其實際價值,該股票還能以較低的價格交易嗎?今天,我們將分析保利地產集團前景和估值的最新數據,以了解機會是否仍然存在。

What's The Opportunity In Poly Property Group?

保利地產集團的機會是什麼?

Poly Property Group appears to be overvalued by 22% at the moment, based on our discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at HK$1.47 on the market compared to our intrinsic value of HK$1.20. This means that the opportunity to buy Poly Property Group at a good price has disappeared! Furthermore, Poly Property Group's share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. If you believe the share price should eventually reach its true value, a low beta could suggest it is unlikely to rapidly do so anytime soon, and once it's there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range.

根據我們的折扣現金流估值,保利地產集團目前似乎被高估了22%。該股票目前在市場上的定價爲1.47港元,而我們的內在價值爲1.20港元。這意味着以優惠的價格收購保利地產集團的機會已經消失!此外,保利地產集團的股價與其他市場相比似乎也相對穩定,其低貝塔值就表明了這一點。如果你認爲股價最終會達到其真實價值,那麼低的貝塔值可能表明它不太可能在短期內迅速達到其真實價值,而且一旦達到真實價值,可能很難回落到一個有吸引力的買入區間。

Can we expect growth from Poly Property Group?

我們能指望保利地產集團的增長嗎?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:119 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 21st 2024
SEHK: 119 2024 年 2 月 21 日的收益和收入增長

Future outlook is an important aspect when you're looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Poly Property Group's earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

當你考慮買入股票時,未來前景是一個重要的方面,特別是如果你是尋求投資組合增長的投資者。儘管價值投資者會爭辯說,最重要的是相對於價格的內在價值,但更有說服力的投資論點是以低廉的價格獲得高增長潛力。保利地產集團未來幾年的收益預計將翻一番,這表明未來非常樂觀。這應該會導致更強勁的現金流,從而提高股票價值。

What This Means For You

這對你意味着什麼

Are you a shareholder? 119's optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe 119 should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

你是股東嗎?119的樂觀未來增長似乎已被納入當前股價的因素,股票的交易價格高於其公允價值。但是,這又帶來了另一個問題——現在是時候賣出了嗎?如果您認爲119的交易價格應低於其當前價格,那麼高價賣出並在其價格跌至實際價值時再次回購可以獲利。但是在做出這個決定之前,先看看它的基本面是否發生了變化。

Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping an eye on 119 for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there's no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for 119, which means it's worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

你是潛在的投資者嗎?如果你關注119已有一段時間了,那麼現在可能不是入股的最佳時機。價格已經超過了其真實價值,這意味着錯誤定價沒有上升空間。但是,119的前景令人鼓舞,這意味着值得深入研究其他因素,以利用下一次價格下跌的機會。

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Poly Property Group at this point in time. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Poly Property Group (including 1 which is significant).

因此,儘管收益質量很重要,但考慮保利地產集團目前面臨的風險同樣重要。爲此,您應該了解我們在保利地產集團發現的兩個警告信號(包括一個重要的警告信號)。

If you are no longer interested in Poly Property Group, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

如果您不再對保利地產集團感興趣,您可以使用我們的免費平台查看我們列出的其他50多隻具有高增長潛力的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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