Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Tianqi Lithium Corporation (SZSE:002466)?
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Tianqi Lithium Corporation (SZSE:002466)?
Let's talk about the popular Tianqi Lithium Corporation (SZSE:002466). The company's shares saw a decent share price growth of 13% on the SZSE over the last few months. The recent rally in share prices has nudged the company in the right direction, though it still falls short of its yearly peak. With many analysts covering the large-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock's share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Tianqi Lithium's outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.
讓我們來談談廣受歡迎的天齊鋰業公司(深圳證券交易所:002466)。在過去的幾個月中,該公司的股票在深圳證券交易所的股價上漲了13%。儘管仍未達到年度峯值,但最近股價的上漲推動該公司朝着正確的方向前進。由於許多分析師都在報道這隻大盤股,我們可能預計,任何對價格敏感的公告都已計入該股的股價。但是,如果還有機會購買呢?今天,我們將分析有關天齊鋰業前景和估值的最新數據,看看機會是否仍然存在。
What's The Opportunity In Tianqi Lithium?
天齊鋰業的機會是什麼?
According to our valuation model, Tianqi Lithium seems to be fairly priced at around 19% below our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Tianqi Lithium today, you'd be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company's true value is CN¥57.90, then there's not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Furthermore, Tianqi Lithium's low beta implies that the stock is less volatile than the wider market.
根據我們的估值模型,天齊鋰業的定價似乎比我們的內在價值低約19%,這意味着如果您今天購買天齊鋰業,您將爲此支付合理的價格。而且,如果你認爲該公司的真實價值爲57.90元人民幣,那麼錯誤定價並沒有太大的好處。此外,天齊鋰業的低貝塔值意味着該股的波動性小於整個市場。
What does the future of Tianqi Lithium look like?
天齊鋰業的未來是什麼樣子?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Tianqi Lithium, it is expected to deliver a highly negative earnings growth in the next few years, which doesn't help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.
尋求投資組合增長的投資者可能需要在購買公司股票之前考慮公司的前景。儘管價值投資者會爭辯說,最重要的是相對於價格的內在價值,但更有說服力的投資論點是以低廉的價格獲得高增長潛力。儘管就天齊鋰業而言,預計它將在未來幾年實現高度負的收益增長,這無助於其建立投資理念。看來未來不確定性的風險很高,至少在短期內是如此。
What This Means For You
這對你意味着什麼
Are you a shareholder? Currently, 002466 appears to be trading around its fair value, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
你是股東嗎?目前,002466似乎圍繞其公允價值進行交易,但鑑於未來負回報帶來的不確定性,這可能是降低投資組合風險的合適時機。您目前的股票敞口是否最適合您的整個投資組合?持有負面展望股票的機會成本是否過高?在對股票做出決定之前,請先看看其基本面是否發生了變化。
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on 002466 for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The price seems to be trading at fair value, which means there's less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven't considered today, which can help gel your views on 002466 should the price fluctuate below its true value.
你是潛在的投資者嗎?如果您關注002466已有一段時間,鑑於其交易價格接近其公允價值,現在可能不是最佳的買入時機。價格似乎是按公允價值交易的,這意味着錯誤定價帶來的好處較小。此外,負增長前景增加了持有股票的風險。但是,我們今天還沒有考慮其他重要因素,如果價格波動低於其真實價值,這些因素可以幫助你凝聚對002466的看法。
With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Tianqi Lithium (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable).
考慮到這一點,除非我們對風險有透徹的了解,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。爲此,你應該了解我們在天齊鋰業發現的3個警告信號(其中一個讓我們有點不舒服)。
If you are no longer interested in Tianqi Lithium, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
如果您不再對天齊鋰業感興趣,可以使用我們的免費平台查看我們列出的其他50多隻具有高增長潛力的股票清單。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。