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Those Who Invested in Anhui Gujing Distillery (SZSE:000596) Five Years Ago Are up 205%

Those Who Invested in Anhui Gujing Distillery (SZSE:000596) Five Years Ago Are up 205%

五年前投資安徽古井酒廠(SZSE: 000596)的人上漲了205%
Simply Wall St ·  02/21 22:55

It hasn't been the best quarter for Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000596) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 13% in that time. But that scarcely detracts from the really solid long term returns generated by the company over five years. It's fair to say most would be happy with 190% the gain in that time. Generally speaking the long term returns will give you a better idea of business quality than short periods can. Of course, that doesn't necessarily mean it's cheap now. Unfortunately not all shareholders will have held it for the long term, so spare a thought for those caught in the 20% decline over the last twelve months.

對於安徽古井酒廠股份有限公司(SZSE: 000596)股東來說,這並不是最好的季度,因爲當時股價已經下跌了13%。但這絲毫不影響該公司在五年內創造的真正穩健的長期回報。可以公平地說,大多數人會對那段時間內190%的收益感到滿意。一般而言,與短期回報相比,長期回報將使您更好地了解業務質量。當然,這並不一定意味着它現在很便宜。不幸的是,並非所有股東都會長揸該股票,因此請多考慮那些在過去十二個月中跌幅爲20%的股東。

So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

因此,讓我們調查一下,看看公司的長期表現是否與基礎業務的進展一致。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

儘管一些人繼續教導高效市場假說,但事實證明,市場是反應過度的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

Over half a decade, Anhui Gujing Distillery managed to grow its earnings per share at 21% a year. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 24% average annual increase in the share price. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. In fact, the share price seems to largely reflect the EPS growth.

在過去的五年中,安徽古井酒廠設法將每股收益增長到每年21%。每股收益的增長相當接近股價年均增長24%。這表明該公司周圍的市場情緒在那段時間內沒有太大變化。實際上,股價似乎在很大程度上反映了每股收益的增長。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SZSE:000596 Earnings Per Share Growth February 22nd 2024
SZSE: 000596 每股收益增長 2024 年 2 月 22 日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Anhui Gujing Distillery's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我們很高興地向大家報告,首席執行官的薪酬比資本相似公司的大多數首席執行官要適中。始終值得關注首席執行官的薪酬,但更重要的問題是公司多年來是否會增加收益。查看這張安徽古井酒廠收益、收入和現金流的互動圖表,深入了解收益。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Anhui Gujing Distillery, it has a TSR of 205% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。以安徽古井酒廠爲例,在過去的5年中,其股東回報率爲205%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

The total return of 19% received by Anhui Gujing Distillery shareholders over the last year isn't far from the market return of -20%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 25%, each year, over five years. If the stock price has been impacted by changing sentiment, rather than deteriorating business conditions, it could spell opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Anhui Gujing Distillery you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

安徽古井酒廠股東去年獲得的總回報率爲19%,與-20%的市場回報率相差不遠。長期投資者不會那麼沮喪,因爲他們本可以在五年內每年賺25%。如果股價受到情緒變化的影響,而不是商業狀況惡化,則可能意味着機會。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。一個很好的例子:我們已經發現了安徽古井酒廠的兩個警告標誌,你應該注意其中 1 個警示標誌,其中一個有點令人擔憂。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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