There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Looking at Torrid Holdings (NYSE:CURV), it does have a high ROCE right now, but lets see how returns are trending.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Torrid Holdings is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.22 = US$57m ÷ (US$509m - US$252m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to October 2023).
So, Torrid Holdings has an ROCE of 22%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Specialty Retail industry average of 13%.
![roce](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240222/0-b9cebc81787f2c1c811f5fd79d6d214d-0-9d37b38853d3dee812b05a2a29beea6c.png/big)
In the above chart we have measured Torrid Holdings' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Torrid Holdings .
What Does the ROCE Trend For Torrid Holdings Tell Us?
In terms of Torrid Holdings' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, while the ROCE is still high, it's fallen from 43% where it was five years ago. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that Torrid Holdings has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 50%, which we'd consider pretty high. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
Our Take On Torrid Holdings' ROCE
We're a bit apprehensive about Torrid Holdings because despite more capital being deployed in the business, returns on that capital and sales have both fallen. Yet despite these concerning fundamentals, the stock has performed strongly with a 49% return over the last year, so investors appear very optimistic. In any case, the current underlying trends don't bode well for long term performance so unless they reverse, we'd start looking elsewhere.
Torrid Holdings does come with some risks though, we found 5 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those can't be ignored...
Torrid Holdings is not the only stock earning high returns. If you'd like to see more, check out our free list of companies earning high returns on equity with solid fundamentals.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.