Owlet, Inc. (NYSE:OWLT) shares have had a horrible month, losing 29% after a relatively good period beforehand. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 6.8% in the last year.
After such a large drop in price, Owlet may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x, since almost half of all companies in the Medical Equipment industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 3.3x and even P/S higher than 8x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Owlet Has Been Performing
Owlet hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Owlet will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Owlet's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 18% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 40% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 32% per annum during the coming three years according to the only analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 9.6% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it odd that Owlet is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What We Can Learn From Owlet's P/S?
Shares in Owlet have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
A look at Owlet's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with Owlet (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Owlet, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.