Guangxi Xinxunda Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300518) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 24% in the last week. But that's small comfort given the dismal price performance over the last year. Like a receding glacier in a warming world, the share price has melted 66% in that period. The share price recovery is not so impressive when you consider the fall. It may be that the fall was an overreaction.
While the stock has risen 24% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
Even though the Guangxi Xinxunda Technology Group share price is down over the year, its EPS actually improved. It could be that the share price was previously over-hyped.
It's surprising to see the share price fall so much, despite the improved EPS. So it's well worth checking out some other metrics, too.
Given the yield is quite low, at 0.4%, we doubt the dividend can shed much light on the share price. In contrast, the 31% drop in revenue is a real concern. Many investors see falling revenue as a likely precursor to lower earnings, so this could well explain the weak share price.
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
This free interactive report on Guangxi Xinxunda Technology Group's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
A Different Perspective
We regret to report that Guangxi Xinxunda Technology Group shareholders are down 65% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 20%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 3% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Guangxi Xinxunda Technology Group better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Guangxi Xinxunda Technology Group (including 1 which is significant) .
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
