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Health Check: How Prudently Does Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd (SZSE:002678) Use Debt?

Health Check: How Prudently Does Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd (SZSE:002678) Use Debt?

健康检查:广州珠江钢琴集团有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002678)如何谨慎地使用债务?
Simply Wall St ·  02/22 20:03

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Guangzhou Pearl River Piano Group Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002678) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。与许多其他公司一样,广州珠江钢琴集团有限公司, Ltd(深圳证券交易所:002678)使用债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以诱人的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会成为风险。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

What Is Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd's Net Debt?

广州珠江钢琴集团有限公司的净负债是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd had debt of CN¥418.5m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from CN¥550.9m over a year. However, it does have CN¥1.53b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥1.12b.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2023年9月底,广州珠江钢琴集团有限公司的债务为4.185亿元人民币,较一年内的5.509亿元人民币有所减少。但是,它确实有15.3亿加元的现金抵消了这一点,净现金为11.2亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002678 Debt to Equity History February 23rd 2024
SZSE: 002678 2024 年 2 月 23 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

A Look At Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd's Liabilities

看看广州珠江钢琴集团有限公司的负债

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥945.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥115.5m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.53b and CN¥277.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥750.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,广州珠江钢琴集团有限公司在12个月内到期的负债为9.455亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为1.155亿元人民币。另一方面,它有15.3亿元人民币的现金和价值2.778亿元人民币的应收账款在一年内到期。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出7.508亿元人民币 负债。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

这种短期的流动性表明,由于其资产负债表远未捉襟见肘,广州珠江钢琴集团有限公司可能会轻松还清债务。简而言之,广州珠江钢琴集团有限公司的现金多于债务,这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是广州珠江钢琴集团有限公司的收益。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

Over 12 months, Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥1.2b, which is a fall of 29%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

在过去的12个月中,广州珠江钢琴集团有限公司的息税前利润水平出现亏损,收入下降至12亿元人民币,下降了29%。坦率地说,这并不是一个好兆头。

So How Risky Is Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd?

那么广州珠江钢琴集团有限公司的风险有多大?

While Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually booked a paper profit of CN¥29m. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. With mediocre revenue growth in the last year, we're don't find the investment opportunity particularly compelling. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .

尽管广州珠江钢琴集团有限公司在息税前收益(EBIT)水平上亏损,但其实际账面利润为2900万元人民币。因此,从面值来看,考虑到现金,我们认为短期内风险不大。由于去年的收入增长平平,我们认为投资机会并不特别引人注目。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。为此,你应该了解我们在广州珠江钢琴集团有限公司发现的3个警告标志(包括一个不容忽视的警告)。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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