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West China Cement's (HKG:2233) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Jumps 17% This Past Week

West China Cement's (HKG:2233) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Jumps 17% This Past Week

随着上周该股上涨17%,华西水泥(HKG: 2233)的收益轨迹可能转为正数
Simply Wall St ·  02/23 19:30

West China Cement Limited (HKG:2233) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 23% in the last month. It's not great that the stock is down over the last three years. But on the bright side, its return of -41%, is better than the market, which is down 29%.

华西水泥有限公司(HKG: 2233)股东应该很高兴看到上个月股价上涨了23%。该股在过去三年中下跌并不是一件好事。但好的一面是,其回报率为-41%,好于下跌29%的市场。

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last three years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

尽管过去一周令股东更加放心,但在过去三年中,他们仍处于亏损状态,所以让我们看看基础业务是否是造成下降的原因。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者 沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价如何并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During the three years that the share price fell, West China Cement's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 15% each year. This fall in EPS isn't far from the rate of share price decline, which was 16% per year. So it seems like sentiment towards the stock hasn't changed all that much over time. In this case, it seems that the EPS is guiding the share price.

在股价下跌的三年中,华西水泥的每股收益(EPS)每年下降15%。每股收益的下降与每年16%的股价下降率相差不远。因此,随着时间的推移,人们对该股的情绪似乎并没有太大变化。在这种情况下,每股收益似乎在指导股价。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到 EPS 是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(点击图片发现确切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:2233 Earnings Per Share Growth February 24th 2024
SEHK: 2233 每股收益增长 2024 年 2 月 24 日

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on West China Cement's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

可能值得一看我们关于华西水泥收益、收入和现金流的免费报告。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, West China Cement's TSR for the last 3 years was -22%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。碰巧的是,华西水泥过去3年的股东总回报率为-22%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market lost about 8.6% in the twelve months, West China Cement shareholders did even worse, losing 16% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 2% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand West China Cement better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with West China Cement , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管整个市场在十二个月中下跌了约8.6%,但华西水泥股东的表现甚至更糟,损失了16%(甚至包括股息)。话虽如此,在下跌的市场中,一些股票不可避免地会被超卖。关键是要密切关注基本发展。遗憾的是,去年的业绩结束了糟糕的表现,股东在五年内每年面临2%的总亏损。总的来说,长期股价疲软可能是一个坏兆头,尽管逆势投资者可能希望研究该股以期出现转机。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解华西水泥,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,投资风险的幽灵无处不在。我们已经向华西水泥确定了两个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家财务状况可能优异的公司——那么千万不要错过这份已经证明自己可以增加收益的公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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