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Is Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd (SHSE:601777) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd (SHSE:601777) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

力帆科技(集团)有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:601777)是否以冒险的方式使用债务?
Simply Wall St ·  02/23 19:14

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Lifan Technology(Group)Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:601777) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们可以看到力帆科技(集团)有限公司, Ltd.(上海证券交易所代码:601777)确实在其业务中使用债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

当企业无法轻易履行这些义务时,无论是通过自由现金流还是以诱人的价格筹集资金,债务和其他负债就会面临风险。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

How Much Debt Does Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd Carry?

力帆科技(集团)有限公司背负了多少债务?

As you can see below, Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd had CN¥2.80b of debt at September 2023, down from CN¥3.03b a year prior. But on the other hand it also has CN¥3.15b in cash, leading to a CN¥354.2m net cash position.

如下所示,力帆科技(集团)有限公司截至2023年9月的债务为28.0亿元人民币,低于去年同期的30.3亿元人民币。但另一方面,它也有31.5亿元的现金,净现金状况为3.542亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601777 Debt to Equity History February 24th 2024
SHSE: 601777 2024 年 2 月 24 日债务与股权比率历史记录

How Healthy Is Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd's Balance Sheet?

力帆科技(集团)有限公司的资产负债表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd had liabilities of CN¥9.17b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.78b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥3.15b as well as receivables valued at CN¥4.30b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥4.49b.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,力帆科技(集团)有限公司的负债为91.7亿元人民币,一年后到期的负债为27.8亿元人民币。除这些债务外,它还有价值31.5亿元人民币的现金以及价值43.0亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额44.9亿元人民币。

This deficit isn't so bad because Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd is worth CN¥14.4b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

这种赤字还不错,因为力帆科技(集团)有限公司的市值为144亿元人民币,因此,如果需要,可能会筹集足够的资金来支撑其资产负债表。但是,仍然值得仔细研究其偿还债务的能力。尽管力帆科技(集团)有限公司确实有值得注意的负债,但其现金也多于债务,因此我们非常有信心它可以安全地管理债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是力帆科技(集团)有限公司的收益。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。

In the last year Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 14%, to CN¥7.7b. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

去年,力帆科技(集团)有限公司在息税前利润水平上没有盈利,但其收入增长了14%,达到77亿元人民币。我们通常希望看到无利可图的公司实现更快的增长,但每家公司都有自己的发展。

So How Risky Is Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd?

那么力帆科技(集团)有限公司的风险有多大?

While Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually booked a paper profit of CN¥64m. So when you consider it has net cash, along with the statutory profit, the stock probably isn't as risky as it might seem, at least in the short term. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd that you should be aware of.

尽管力帆科技(集团)有限公司的利息和税前收益(EBIT)水平出现亏损,但其实际账面利润为6400万元人民币。因此,当你考虑到它有净现金和法定利润时,该股票的风险可能没有看起来那么大,至少在短期内是如此。在我们看到息税前利润为正数之前,我们对该股持谨慎态度,尤其是因为收入增长相当温和。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。例如,我们已经为力帆科技(集团)有限公司确定了您应该注意的1个警告标志。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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