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Is Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd (SHSE:601777) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd (SHSE:601777) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

力帆科技(集團)有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:601777)是否以冒險的方式使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  02/23 21:14

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Lifan Technology(Group)Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:601777) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們可以看到力帆科技(集團)有限公司, Ltd.(上海證券交易所代碼:601777)確實在其業務中使用債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

當企業無法輕易履行這些義務時,無論是通過自由現金流還是以誘人的價格籌集資金,債務和其他負債就會面臨風險。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

How Much Debt Does Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd Carry?

力帆科技(集團)有限公司揹負了多少債務?

As you can see below, Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd had CN¥2.80b of debt at September 2023, down from CN¥3.03b a year prior. But on the other hand it also has CN¥3.15b in cash, leading to a CN¥354.2m net cash position.

如下所示,力帆科技(集團)有限公司截至2023年9月的債務爲28.0億元人民幣,低於去年同期的30.3億元人民幣。但另一方面,它也有31.5億元的現金,淨現金狀況爲3.542億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601777 Debt to Equity History February 24th 2024
SHSE: 601777 2024 年 2 月 24 日債務與股權比率歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd's Balance Sheet?

力帆科技(集團)有限公司的資產負債表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd had liabilities of CN¥9.17b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.78b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥3.15b as well as receivables valued at CN¥4.30b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥4.49b.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,力帆科技(集團)有限公司的負債爲91.7億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲27.8億元人民幣。除這些債務外,它還有價值31.5億元人民幣的現金以及價值43.0億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額44.9億元人民幣。

This deficit isn't so bad because Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd is worth CN¥14.4b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

這種赤字還不錯,因爲力帆科技(集團)有限公司的市值爲144億元人民幣,因此,如果需要,可能會籌集足夠的資金來支撐其資產負債表。但是,仍然值得仔細研究其償還債務的能力。儘管力帆科技(集團)有限公司確實有值得注意的負債,但其現金也多於債務,因此我們非常有信心它可以安全地管理債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是力帆科技(集團)有限公司的收益。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。

In the last year Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 14%, to CN¥7.7b. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

去年,力帆科技(集團)有限公司在息稅前利潤水平上沒有盈利,但其收入增長了14%,達到77億元人民幣。我們通常希望看到無利可圖的公司實現更快的增長,但每家公司都有自己的發展。

So How Risky Is Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd?

那麼力帆科技(集團)有限公司的風險有多大?

While Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually booked a paper profit of CN¥64m. So when you consider it has net cash, along with the statutory profit, the stock probably isn't as risky as it might seem, at least in the short term. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd that you should be aware of.

儘管力帆科技(集團)有限公司的利息和稅前收益(EBIT)水平出現虧損,但其實際賬面利潤爲6400萬元人民幣。因此,當你考慮到它有淨現金和法定利潤時,該股票的風險可能沒有看起來那麼大,至少在短期內是如此。在我們看到息稅前利潤爲正數之前,我們對該股持謹慎態度,尤其是因爲收入增長相當溫和。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,我們已經爲力帆科技(集團)有限公司確定了您應該注意的1個警告標誌。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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