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Investors Don't See Light At End Of Forrester Research, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FORR) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 26%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 24 08:24

Forrester Research, Inc. (NASDAQ:FORR) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 41% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, Forrester Research's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Professional Services industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.5x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:FORR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 24th 2024

What Does Forrester Research's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Forrester Research's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Forrester Research's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Forrester Research would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 11%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 7.1% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 8.9% over the next year. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 6.5%, which paints a poor picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that Forrester Research is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On Forrester Research's P/S

Forrester Research's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Forrester Research's P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Forrester Research's poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Forrester Research you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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