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Hainan Haiqi Transportation Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603069) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 26 16:34

When close to half the companies in the Transportation industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.1x, you may consider Hainan Haiqi Transportation Group Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603069) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 6.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603069 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 26th 2024

What Does Hainan Haiqi Transportation GroupLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Hainan Haiqi Transportation GroupLtd could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will improve markedly. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Hainan Haiqi Transportation GroupLtd's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Hainan Haiqi Transportation GroupLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 32%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 30% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 0.4% as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 19%, which paints a poor picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that Hainan Haiqi Transportation GroupLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Hainan Haiqi Transportation GroupLtd's P/S

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Hainan Haiqi Transportation GroupLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its shrinking revenue outlook isn't drawing down its high P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenue decline likely to impact the positive sentiment that's propping up the P/S. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it'll be a challenging time for shareholders.

Having said that, be aware Hainan Haiqi Transportation GroupLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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