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Sublime China Information Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301299) Stock's On A Decline: Are Poor Fundamentals The Cause?

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 26 21:34

It is hard to get excited after looking at Sublime China Information's (SZSE:301299) recent performance, when its stock has declined 32% over the past three months. To decide if this trend could continue, we decided to look at its weak fundamentals as they shape the long-term market trends. Specifically, we decided to study Sublime China Information's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Sublime China Information is:

6.6% = CN¥43m ÷ CN¥661m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.07 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Sublime China Information's Earnings Growth And 6.6% ROE

At first glance, Sublime China Information's ROE doesn't look very promising. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 6.9%. Having said that, Sublime China Information's net income growth over the past five years is more or less flat. Bear in mind, the company's ROE is not very high. Hence, this provides some context to the flat earnings growth seen by the company.

As a next step, we compared Sublime China Information's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 3.0% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:301299 Past Earnings Growth February 27th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Sublime China Information's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Sublime China Information Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 91% (implying that the company keeps only 9.3% of its income) of its business to reinvest into its business), most of Sublime China Information's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the absence of growth in earnings.

Additionally, Sublime China Information started paying a dividend only recently. So it looks like the management must have perceived that shareholders favor dividends over earnings growth.

Conclusion

On the whole, Sublime China Information's performance is quite a big let-down. Particularly, its ROE is a huge disappointment, not to mention its lack of proper reinvestment into the business. As a result its earnings growth has also been quite disappointing. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Sublime China Information's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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