It's not a stretch to say that Shenzhen HeungKong Holding Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600162) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in China, where the median P/E ratio is around 30x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Shenzhen HeungKong HoldingLtd has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Does Growth Match The P/E?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Shenzhen HeungKong HoldingLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 68% last year. EPS has also lifted 24% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 41% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's curious that Shenzhen HeungKong HoldingLtd's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Shenzhen HeungKong HoldingLtd's P/E
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Shenzhen HeungKong HoldingLtd currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shenzhen HeungKong HoldingLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
