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Nanjing Securities (SHSE:601990) Shareholders Have Endured a 26% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

Nanjing Securities (SHSE:601990) Shareholders Have Endured a 26% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

五年前,南京证券(SHSE: 601990)股东因投资该股而遭受了26%的损失
Simply Wall St ·  02/28 01:46

The main aim of stock picking is to find the market-beating stocks. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Nanjing Securities Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601990), since the last five years saw the share price fall 30%.

选股的主要目的是寻找市场领先的股票。但是,几乎每个投资者都肯定会有表现过硬和表现不佳的股票。此时,一些股东可能会质疑他们对南京证券股份有限公司(SHSE: 601990)的投资,因为在过去五年中,股价下跌了30%。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由于从长远来看,股东会下跌,让我们来看看那段时间的潜在基本面,看看它们与回报是否一致。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

不可否认,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是能反映潜在的业务表现。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, Nanjing Securities actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 12% per year. So it doesn't seem like EPS is a great guide to understanding how the market is valuing the stock. Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.

在股价下滑的不幸五年中,南京证券的每股收益(EPS)实际上每年增长12%。因此,每股收益似乎不是了解市场如何估值股票的好指南。或者,市场此前可能非常乐观,因此尽管每股收益有所改善,但该股还是令人失望。

Due to the lack of correlation between the EPS growth and the falling share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movement.

由于每股收益增长与股价下跌之间缺乏相关性,值得一看其他指标,以了解股价走势。

We don't think that the 1.3% is big factor in the share price, since it's quite small, as dividends go. In contrast to the share price, revenue has actually increased by 7.6% a year in the five year period. A more detailed examination of the revenue and earnings may or may not explain why the share price languishes; there could be an opportunity.

我们认为1.3%不是影响股价的重要因素,因为随着股息的增加,它相当小。与股价形成鲜明对比的是,在五年期间,收入实际上每年增长7.6%。对收入和收益进行更详细的审查可能会也可能无法解释股价下跌的原因;可能有机会。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何随着时间的推移而变化(点击图片了解确切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:601990 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 28th 2024
SHSE: 601990 年收益和收入增长 2024 年 2 月 28 日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Nanjing Securities' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我们很高兴地向大家报告,首席执行官的薪酬比资本相似公司的大多数首席执行官要适中。但是,尽管首席执行官的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是公司未来能否增加收益。不妨看看我们关于南京证券收益、收入和现金流的免费报告。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Nanjing Securities, it has a TSR of -26% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。就南京证券而言,其过去5年的股东总回报率为-26%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While it's certainly disappointing to see that Nanjing Securities shares lost 11% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 16%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 5% over the last half decade. Whilst Baron Rothschild does tell the investor "buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own", buyers would need to examine the data carefully to be comfortable that the business itself is sound. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Nanjing Securities (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管南京证券股价全年下跌11%确实令人失望,但这还不如16%的市场跌幅那么糟糕。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年中5%的年化亏损还要糟糕。尽管罗斯柴尔德男爵确实告诉投资者 “街上有血时买入,即使血是你自己的”,但买家需要仔细检查数据,以确定业务本身是健全的。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,投资风险的幽灵无处不在。我们已经在南京证券发现了两个警告信号(至少一个让我们有点不舒服),了解它们应该是你投资过程的一部分。

We will like Nanjing Securities better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些大规模的内幕收购,我们会更喜欢南京证券。在我们等待的同时,请查看这份免费清单,列出了最近有大量内幕收购的成长型公司。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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