JNBY Design Limited (HKG:3306) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 50% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 57% in the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about JNBY Design's P/E ratio of 8.6x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in Hong Kong is also close to 9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, JNBY Design has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company's earnings will be less resilient moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Is There Some Growth For JNBY Design?
JNBY Design's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 68%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 117% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 4.3% per year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 16% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
In light of this, it's curious that JNBY Design's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
JNBY Design's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of JNBY Design's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for JNBY Design that you should be aware of.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
