Brown & Brown (NYSE:BRO) Shareholders Have Earned a 25% CAGR Over the Last Five Years
Brown & Brown (NYSE:BRO) Shareholders Have Earned a 25% CAGR Over the Last Five Years
The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. Long term Brown & Brown, Inc. (NYSE:BRO) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 189% in five years. It's also good to see the share price up 13% over the last quarter. But this move may well have been assisted by the reasonably buoyant market (up 11% in 90 days).
任何股票(假設你不使用槓桿)的最大損失是你的資金的100%。但好的一面是,如果你以合適的價格購買一家高質量公司的股票,你可以獲得超過100%的收益。布朗和布朗公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:BRO)的長期股東會意識到這一點,因爲該股在五年內上漲了189%。股價在上個季度上漲了13%也是件好事。但是,這一舉措很可能得到了相當活躍的市場(90天內上漲了11%)的推動。
Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.
讓我們來看看長期的基本面,看看它們是否與股東的回報一致。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。
During five years of share price growth, Brown & Brown achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 19% per year. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 24% average annual increase in the share price. This indicates that investor sentiment towards the company has not changed a great deal. In fact, the share price seems to largely reflect the EPS growth.
在五年的股價增長中,布朗和布朗實現了每年19%的複合每股收益(EPS)增長。每股收益的增長相當接近股價年均增長24%。這表明投資者對公司的情緒沒有太大變化。實際上,股價似乎在很大程度上反映了每股收益的增長。
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下圖中看到 EPS 隨時間推移的變化(點擊圖表查看確切值)。
We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
我們喜歡內部人士在過去十二個月中一直在購買股票。話雖如此,大多數人認爲收益和收入增長趨勢是更有意義的業務指南。在買入或賣出股票之前,我們始終建議仔細研究歷史增長趨勢,可在此處查閱。
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Brown & Brown, it has a TSR of 201% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。就布朗和布朗而言,在過去的5年中,其股東總回報率爲201%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了 總 股東回報。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
It's nice to see that Brown & Brown shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 52% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 25%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Brown & Brown you should know about.
很高興看到布朗和布朗的股東在過去一年中獲得了52%的總股東回報率。當然,這包括股息。這一增幅好於五年內的年度股東總回報率,即25%。因此,最近公司周圍的情緒似乎一直很樂觀。在最好的情況下,這可能暗示着一些真正的業務勢頭,這意味着現在可能是深入研究的好時機。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,考慮風險。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了一個你應該知道的布朗和布朗警告標誌。
Brown & Brown is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.
布朗和布朗並不是內部人士唯一買入的股票。因此,看看這份免費的內幕收購成長型公司名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。