SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300276) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 34% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 22% is also fairly reasonable.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.1x, considering almost half the companies in China's Machinery industry have P/S ratios below 2.6x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
How SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group Has Been Performing
SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
How Is SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 13% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 3.9% overall drop in revenue. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 27% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
If you're unsure about the strength of SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.