The Prosperous Printing Company Limited (HKG:8385) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 44% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Prosperous Printing's P/S ratio of 0.1x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Commercial Services industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
How Prosperous Printing Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Prosperous Printing over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Prosperous Printing, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Prosperous Printing?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Prosperous Printing's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 25% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 55% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 6.8% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Prosperous Printing is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Prosperous Printing's P/S?
Following Prosperous Printing's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
The fact that Prosperous Printing currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 5 warning signs for Prosperous Printing (4 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're unsure about the strength of Prosperous Printing's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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