China Resources Sanjiu Medical & Pharmaceutical's (SZSE:000999) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Strong 123% Return Over the Last Three Years
China Resources Sanjiu Medical & Pharmaceutical's (SZSE:000999) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Strong 123% Return Over the Last Three Years
It might seem bad, but the worst that can happen when you buy a stock (without leverage) is that its share price goes to zero. But if you buy shares in a really great company, you can more than double your money. For instance the China Resources Sanjiu Medical & Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000999) share price is 110% higher than it was three years ago. Most would be happy with that. It's also good to see the share price up 12% over the last quarter.
這可能看起來很糟糕,但是當你買入一隻股票(沒有槓桿作用)時可能發生的最糟糕的情況是它的股價變爲零。但是,如果你購買一家非常棒的公司的股票,你可以 更多 比你的錢翻一番。例如,華潤三九醫藥股份有限公司(SZSE: 000999)的股價比三年前高出110%。大多數人會對此感到滿意。股價在上個季度上漲了12%也是件好事。
Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
現在也值得一看公司的基本面,因爲這將有助於我們確定長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
引用巴菲特的話說:“船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...”研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。
During three years of share price growth, China Resources Sanjiu Medical & Pharmaceutical achieved compound earnings per share growth of 19% per year. In comparison, the 28% per year gain in the share price outpaces the EPS growth. This indicates that the market is feeling more optimistic on the stock, after the last few years of progress. It's not unusual to see the market 're-rate' a stock, after a few years of growth.
在三年的股價增長中,華潤三九醫藥實現了每年19%的複合每股收益增長。相比之下,股價每年28%的漲幅超過了每股收益的增長。這表明,在過去幾年的進展之後,市場對該股感到更加樂觀。在經歷了幾年的增長之後,市場 “重新評級” 股票的情況並不少見。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下圖顯示了 EPS 在一段時間內的跟蹤情況(如果你點擊圖片,你可以看到更多細節)。
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
我們很高興地向大家報告,首席執行官的薪水比資本相似公司的大多數首席執行官都要適中。但是,儘管首席執行官的薪酬總是值得檢查的,但真正重要的問題是公司未來能否增加收益。在買入或賣出股票之前,我們始終建議仔細研究歷史增長趨勢,可在此處查閱。
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for China Resources Sanjiu Medical & Pharmaceutical the TSR over the last 3 years was 123%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。我們注意到,華潤三九醫藥在過去3年的股東總回報率爲123%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
It's good to see that China Resources Sanjiu Medical & Pharmaceutical has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 8.7% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. However, that falls short of the 18% TSR per annum it has made for shareholders, each year, over five years. The pessimistic view would be that be that the stock has its best days behind it, but on the other hand the price might simply be moderating while the business itself continues to execute. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with China Resources Sanjiu Medical & Pharmaceutical , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
很高興看到華潤三九醫藥在過去十二個月中向股東提供了8.7%的總股東回報率。這包括股息。但是,這低於其在五年內每年爲股東創造的18%的股東總回報率。悲觀的看法是,該股已經過了最好的時機,但另一方面,在業務本身繼續執行的同時,價格可能只是在放緩。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,投資風險的幽靈無處不在。我們已經向華潤三九醫藥確定了一個警告信號,了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
如果你想與管理層一起購買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司名單。(提示:業內人士一直在購買它們)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。