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Magnite, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MGNI) 29% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 1 05:10

Magnite, Inc. (NASDAQ:MGNI) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 12% is also fairly reasonable.

Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies operating in the United States' Media industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1x, you may consider Magnite as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2.7x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NasdaqGS:MGNI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 1st 2024

How Magnite Has Been Performing

Recent times have been advantageous for Magnite as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Magnite.

How Is Magnite's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Magnite's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 7.4% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 180% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 7.2% per year during the coming three years according to the eight analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 7.0% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it interesting that Magnite is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

Magnite's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Given Magnite's future revenue forecasts are in line with the wider industry, the fact that it trades at an elevated P/S is somewhat surprising. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the company can jump ahead of the rest of the industry in the short-term, it'll be a challenge to maintain the share price at current levels.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Magnite that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of Magnite's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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