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What ChengDu ShengNuo Biotec Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:688117) 30% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 2 06:31

Those holding ChengDu ShengNuo Biotec Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688117) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 30% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Looking further back, the 22% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 29x, you may consider ChengDu ShengNuo BiotecLtd as a stock to potentially avoid with its 41.9x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

ChengDu ShengNuo BiotecLtd certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688117 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 1st 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on ChengDu ShengNuo BiotecLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is ChengDu ShengNuo BiotecLtd's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like ChengDu ShengNuo BiotecLtd's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 8.9% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 12% overall drop in EPS. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 41% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 41%, which is not materially different.

With this information, we find it interesting that ChengDu ShengNuo BiotecLtd is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

ChengDu ShengNuo BiotecLtd's P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of ChengDu ShengNuo BiotecLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for ChengDu ShengNuo BiotecLtd that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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